Opinion

Crypto treasury stocks are a speculator's game of riding a premium-to-NAV. The play is the "capital markets flywheel"; the risk is the "NAV death spiral". This playbook deconstructs the model, showing you how to capitalize on the hype and manage the catastrophic risk.

Why the euphoria now? The 3.5-year market cycle is pushing toward its Q3 2025 peak, fueled by policy. But what comes next? Our Duo-Lens is spotting the smart money's de-risking. We're ready for the inevitable shift into 2026 – because understanding the "when" of cycles is your ultimate edge.

The market's euphoric surge is stealthily fueled by a trillion-dollar financial engineering: the U.S. Treasury's quiet manipulation of systemic liquidity. This hidden stimulus, flowing through collateral markets, stretches the liquidity cycle, setting the stage for a dramatic reversal.

While public sentiment on crypto hits rock-bottom lows, institutional money is quietly accumulating ETH. Our key indicator for the altcoin rally, the OTHERS/BTC ratio, is deeply oversold and flashing bottoming signals. This is what a major cyclical bottom looks like before the great unfolding.