State of Play: Crypto Market Update – July 2025

While public sentiment on crypto hits rock-bottom lows, institutional money is quietly accumulating ETH. Our key indicator for the altcoin rally, the OTHERS/BTC ratio, is deeply oversold and flashing bottoming signals. This is what a major cyclical bottom looks like before the storm.

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The Final Lap: Navigating the Euphoria Rally

Alpha Report June 29th - A euphoric, policy-driven rally is pushing markets to new records. But the smart money is quietly rotating into hard assets. We are positioning for the coming top and the new leaders of the next cycle.

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Estée Lauder - From the Pit Lane to the Main Straight

After a 2-year pit stop, our system confirms Estée Lauder (EL) has re-entered the race. A high-volume breakout validates our base analysis and institutional telemetry. The markup phase is green-lit, and our execution protocol is active. This is where engineering meets acceleration.

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The Copper Conundrum: Why Structural Scarcity is Overruling Slowdown Fears

While first-level thinkers are paralyzed by recession fears, the copper market is screaming a story of structural scarcity. A multi-decade supply deficit, confirmed by a powerful breakout in miners, signals the start of a new bull market. This is a masterclass in positioning for what's inevitable.

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The Silent Accumulation and The Sidelined Crowd

While public interest in crypto remains at 2022 lows, our data reveals aggressive institutional accumulation in Ethereum. From consistent inflows & a tightening supply to massive short interest & macro tailwinds, the smart money is positioning for a significant, "hated" rally.

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Latest posts
Why Brazil's Arithmetic Outweighs Argentina's Narrative
Why Brazil's Arithmetic Outweighs Argentina's Narrative

Don't chase Argentina's expensive narrative. In Brazil, political gloom has created a deep margin of safety, with equities near COVID lows. The astute investor focuses not on the story, but on the price paid. True edge is found where pessimism is priced in and the arithmetic is strong.

by a13v, Tiger Quant
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Beyond the Narrative: What Smart Money Is Doing in Rare Earth Metals
Beyond the Narrative: What Smart Money Is Doing in Rare Earth Metals

Forget the EV narrative; the price of rare earth metals tells a story of brutal decline. The real question is: what is happening now? Data reveals a 30-month accumulation base, a quiet absorption by institutional players, creating one of the most asymmetric opportunities of the coming cycle.

by a13v, Tiger Quant
Deeper Into the Woods
Deeper Into the Woods

The market has moved deeper 'into the wood,' forcing a revision of our base case. We now project a 25-30% correction, targeting 4,140-4,500 on the S&P 500, driven by policy uncertainty. This is a structural rotation out of tech, not a simple dip. Defensiveness and tactical agility are paramount.

by a13v, Tiger Quant
The Great Game in the Realm of Mineralia
The Great Game in the Realm of Mineralia

First-level thinking sees China's monopoly on rare earths as absolute. Second-level thinking sees King Americus's grand strategy to dismantle it. A new world order is being forged in critical minerals, creating a historic opportunity for the patient investor. The accumulation phase has begun.

by a13v, Tiger Quant
Palladium Breaking Out
Palladium Breaking Out

While consensus fixates on palladium's weak demand narrative, our data reveals a different reality. A multi-year accumulation base, supported by a geopolitical supply floor, shows the negative story is priced in. The smart money is positioning for the inevitable. The inflection point is likely now.

by a13v, Tiger Quant
Alpha report: 16-Mar-25
Alpha report: 16-Mar-25

Historically, the "buy the dip" mantra fueled U.S. tech, but global policy shifts now challenge this view. While Germany's disciplined fiscal measures and China's bold stimulus drive change, a U.S. detox exposes vulnerabilities. Yet many cling to familiar stocks amid rising technical red flags. NOW!

by a13v, Tiger Quant
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